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Red317
6945110.7
3142121.2
6943108.9
Blue394
4653141.6
2577117.2
223148.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133440100300400500317394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
121.20.5
116.0115.6
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
blue by 27.2
223
#5
148.40.9
137.3138.2
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
Second
6945
#38
110.70.6
96.296.8
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End10.7
blue by 30.8
4653
#13
141.64.4
120.5124.9
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
Third
6943
#28
108.91.4
101.1102.5
Auto16.0
Teleop81.5
End14.5
blue by 8.3
2577
#18
117.24.9
103.7108.6
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed