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Red257
2495103.8
2016150.5
6860103.0
Blue313
465296.9
5438105.6
4361131.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752490100200300400500257313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.51.3
139.0140.3
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
red by 19.3
131.20.6
125.8126.4
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Second
2495
#36
103.81.9
107.0105.1
Auto16.1
Teleop81.1
End6.0
blue by 1.8
5438
#25
105.62.0
112.5110.5
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
Third
6860
#30
103.01.1
101.8100.7
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
red by 6.1
4652
#22
96.91.2
98.697.4
Auto12.5
Teleop83.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed