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Red283
1228128.2
2600110.1
303175.6
Blue379
25185.4
11120.2
1672118.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092880100200400500600283379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
175.62.5
163.2165.7
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
blue by 9.8
25
#2
185.43.1
162.7165.9
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
Second
1228
#20
128.21.3
128.7130.0
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
red by 8.0
11
#31
120.21.2
120.0118.8
Auto13.4
Teleop92.7
End14.3
Third
2600
#33
110.11.4
108.6107.3
Auto13.3
Teleop89.4
End9.0
blue by 8.5
1672
#39
118.60.8
114.7115.5
Auto13.3
Teleop95.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed