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Red382
5310128.2
223148.4
193135.7
Blue239
555116.3
6203132.8
6327130.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973040100200400500600700382239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#5
148.41.0
138.2139.1
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
red by 15.6
6203
#26
132.82.4
124.4126.8
Auto13.0
Teleop100.2
End22.4
Second
193
#16
135.71.5
129.3130.8
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
red by 5.8
6327
#19
130.04.4
124.0128.4
Auto15.8
Teleop99.0
End16.5
Third
128.22.5
112.8115.3
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
red by 12.0
555
#27
116.30.9
125.1124.2
Auto13.7
Teleop91.3
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed