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Red153
293128.3
7045102.1
207097.4
Blue303
1403128.5
219134.1
1089136.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133270100300400500153303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#21
128.32.9
129.4132.3
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1
blue by 8.2
1089
#11
136.50.6
130.7130.2
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Second
7045
#14
102.12.1
98.5100.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.9
End7.7
blue by 32.0
219
#10
134.11.7
135.4137.0
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
Third
2070
#37
97.40.8
98.999.7
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
blue by 31.1
1403
#34
128.52.7
128.9126.2
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed