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Red375
1143128.0
6016103.5
3142121.2
Blue436
1923165.3
222167.4
6945110.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269331100150200300350400450500375436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#23
128.00.9
136.1137.0
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
blue by 39.4
222
#4
167.42.8
151.8154.6
Auto24.0
Teleop134.4
End8.4
Second
3142
#24
121.22.3
115.6117.9
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
blue by 44.0
165.30.5
155.6156.1
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
Third
6016
#35
103.50.0
105.3105.2
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
blue by 7.3
6945
#38
110.73.0
96.899.8
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed