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Red437
1989138.0
4575127.2
2577117.2
Blue178
573285.8
2554115.5
3637150.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318268100150200250300350400450500437178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.01.4
130.5131.8
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
blue by 12.0
3637
#15
150.02.7
140.1142.8
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
Second
4575
#17
127.20.6
132.2132.8
Auto16.2
Teleop100.3
End6.3
red by 11.7
2554
#32
115.52.9
126.0123.1
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
Third
2577
#18
117.24.0
108.6112.7
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
red by 31.4
5732
#40
85.81.3
88.189.4
Auto12.6
Teleop72.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed