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Red275
4653141.6
303175.6
2495103.8
Blue156
193135.7
465296.9
293128.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339253100200300400500275156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
175.63.0
167.7170.7
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
red by 39.9
193
#16
135.72.7
130.8133.5
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
Second
4653
#13
141.64.6
128.5133.2
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
red by 13.3
293
#21
128.31.3
132.8131.5
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1
Third
2495
#36
103.81.5
105.0103.5
Auto16.1
Teleop81.1
End6.0
red by 6.9
4652
#22
96.90.3
96.897.1
Auto12.5
Teleop83.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed