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Red226
5310128.2
219134.1
573285.8
Blue288
7045102.1
223148.4
1989138.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262309100150200350400450226288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#10
134.11.5
138.6137.1
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
blue by 14.3
223
#5
148.41.9
140.6142.4
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
Second
128.22.9
118.6121.5
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
blue by 9.8
138.01.3
133.8135.1
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
Third
5732
#40
85.80.8
88.888.0
Auto12.6
Teleop72.2
End0.9
blue by 16.3
7045
#14
102.10.4
100.6100.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed