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Red188
207097.4
2016150.5
6016103.5
Blue329
3637150.0
2600110.1
2577117.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283302100150200250350400450500188329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.52.0
141.7143.8
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
red by 0.5
3637
#15
150.01.7
143.0144.6
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
Second
6016
#35
103.50.8
104.3105.1
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
blue by 13.7
2577
#18
117.20.1
116.3116.2
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
Third
2070
#37
97.40.9
98.899.7
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
blue by 12.6
2600
#33
110.10.6
107.2107.8
Auto13.3
Teleop89.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed