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Red147
222167.4
5438105.6
6943108.9
Blue402
25185.4
193135.7
4361131.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245369100200300400500600147402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#4
167.42.9
158.5161.4
Auto24.0
Teleop134.4
End8.4
blue by 18.0
25
#2
185.44.6
170.3174.9
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
Second
6943
#28
108.91.2
105.6106.8
Auto16.0
Teleop81.5
End14.5
blue by 26.8
193
#16
135.70.1
133.5133.5
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
Third
5438
#25
105.61.4
109.3107.9
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
blue by 25.6
131.20.8
127.0127.8
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed