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Red103
41121.6
1228128.2
4575127.2
Blue354
1089136.5
1143128.0
4653141.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277324100200400500103354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#20
128.20.9
131.4132.3
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
blue by 13.4
4653
#13
141.63.0
133.2136.2
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
Second
4575
#17
127.20.5
134.4133.8
Auto16.2
Teleop100.3
End6.3
blue by 9.3
1089
#11
136.51.7
130.4132.1
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Third
41
#29
121.61.8
130.1128.2
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End7.7
blue by 6.4
1143
#23
128.02.7
136.6133.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed