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Red367
207097.4
1923165.3
25185.4
Blue219
4653141.6
1672118.6
6945110.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371259100200300400500600367219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
185.43.6
174.9178.5
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
red by 43.8
4653
#13
141.61.6
136.2137.8
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
Second
165.31.7
159.1160.7
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
red by 46.7
1672
#39
118.60.5
119.7119.3
Auto13.3
Teleop95.0
End11.4
Third
2070
#37
97.40.5
99.799.2
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
blue by 13.3
6945
#38
110.73.4
105.3108.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed