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Red267
5438105.6
1089136.5
1626146.6
Blue316
3142121.2
1989138.0
5310128.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308276100200400500600267316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#12
146.63.3
139.5142.8
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
red by 8.6
138.00.2
135.1135.3
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
Second
1089
#11
136.50.7
132.1132.7
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
red by 8.3
128.22.0
122.9124.9
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
Third
5438
#25
105.61.7
107.9106.2
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
blue by 15.6
3142
#24
121.20.5
118.2117.7
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed