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Red328
223148.4
4361131.2
2554115.5
Blue367
1923165.3
7045102.1
1089136.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281322100200400500328367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#5
148.40.6
143.5144.1
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
blue by 16.8
165.31.5
160.7162.2
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
Second
131.20.5
128.8129.4
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
blue by 5.3
1089
#11
136.50.9
132.7133.7
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Third
2554
#32
115.51.8
117.8116.0
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
red by 13.4
7045
#14
102.10.5
100.5100.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed