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Red396
3142121.2
2016150.5
25185.4
Blue205
1403128.5
303175.6
4575127.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351305100200400500600396205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
185.42.6
178.5181.1
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
red by 9.8
303
#1
175.61.4
172.7174.1
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
Second
150.51.6
144.8146.4
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
red by 22.0
1403
#34
128.51.5
126.1127.6
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
Third
3142
#24
121.20.7
117.7118.5
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
blue by 5.9
4575
#17
127.22.2
131.3129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop100.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed