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Red382
5438105.6
1228128.2
4653141.6
Blue114
6016103.5
6860103.0
5310128.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972640100200400500382114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#13
141.61.9
138.6140.5
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
red by 13.4
128.22.3
124.9127.2
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
Second
1228
#20
128.20.9
129.4128.4
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
red by 24.7
6016
#35
103.50.3
104.6104.2
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
Third
5438
#25
105.60.6
106.2105.6
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
red by 2.6
6860
#30
103.00.1
103.6103.5
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed