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Red307
6203132.8
573285.8
1089136.5
Blue384
222167.4
1626146.6
2495103.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250348100200300400500600307384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#11
136.51.6
133.7135.2
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
blue by 30.9
222
#4
167.41.1
164.1165.2
Auto24.0
Teleop134.4
End8.4
Second
6203
#26
132.81.2
128.7129.9
Auto13.0
Teleop100.2
End22.4
blue by 13.8
1626
#12
146.62.7
142.8145.4
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
Third
5732
#40
85.80.5
86.385.8
Auto12.6
Teleop72.2
End0.9
blue by 18.0
2495
#36
103.80.5
103.4103.8
Auto16.1
Teleop81.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed