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Red320
2016150.0
6590129.6
2590238.0
Blue372
369152.3
708171.6
1923189.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37734102006008001,0001,2001,400320372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#27
238.00.0
238.0238.0
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
red by 49.0
1923
#11
189.00.0
189.0189.0
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
Second
150.00.0
150.0150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 21.5
708
#5
171.60.0
171.6171.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
Third
129.60.0
129.6129.6
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
blue by 22.7
369
#15
152.30.0
152.3152.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds