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Red399
484133.1
806117.6
321138.3
Blue144
102137.9
4652115.3
5123113.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305306150200250350399144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#10
138.30.0
138.3138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
red by 0.4
102
#12
137.90.0
137.9137.9
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
Second
484
#13
133.10.0
133.1133.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
red by 17.8
4652
#29
115.30.0
115.3115.3
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
Third
806
#21
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
red by 4.1
5123
#28
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds