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Red372
75151.9
1676150.8
5684129.6
Blue311
3142139.3
293147.3
1279150.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325367200300400500600372311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#7
151.90.2
152.5152.3
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
red by 1.3
1279
#23
150.60.3
149.9150.3
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Second
150.80.4
149.1149.6
Auto18.5
Teleop106.6
End24.1
red by 3.5
293
#8
147.30.4
146.5146.9
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
Third
5684
#29
129.60.1
129.9129.8
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
blue by 9.8
3142
#12
139.30.3
138.8139.1
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0