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Red325
56194.3
3314171.4
4573132.9
Blue358
341159.2
222186.1
4653159.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364373200300400500600700325358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
194.30.3
194.0194.3
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
red by 8.2
222
#5
186.10.1
186.5186.4
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
Second
171.40.2
171.2171.4
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
red by 11.5
4653
#21
159.90.4
158.9159.3
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
Third
4573
#25
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
blue by 26.3
341
#13
159.20.5
157.7158.3
Auto17.2
Teleop122.1
End19.5