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Red232
428198.6
566698.7
3637160.8
Blue369
4573132.9
5310130.3
3142139.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663220100200400500600232369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#19
160.81.8
154.8156.6
Auto17.7
Teleop123.0
End19.4
red by 21.5
3142
#12
139.31.6
123.3124.9
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0
Second
5666
#31
98.71.2
95.596.7
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End8.3
blue by 34.2
4573
#25
132.90.4
130.4130.0
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
Third
4281
#36
98.60.2
98.698.8
Auto15.0
Teleop74.3
End4.3
blue by 31.6
5310
#32
130.30.1
127.2127.1
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed