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Red186
13686.8
334092.4
5684129.6
Blue447
341159.2
1403134.0
25201.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1354330100200300400500600700186447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#29
129.60.5
128.2128.7
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
blue by 71.7
25
#3
201.21.6
188.7190.3
Auto26.1
Teleop156.4
End19.4
Second
3340
#35
92.40.8
89.690.4
Auto16.1
Teleop66.3
End9.0
blue by 66.8
341
#13
159.20.7
143.8144.5
Auto17.2
Teleop122.1
End19.5
Third
136
#39
86.81.2
84.783.5
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
blue by 47.2
134.00.1
129.2129.1
Auto18.7
Teleop102.9
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed