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Red372
11132.8
1626157.6
41131.0
Blue239
5624120.9
4637122.3
56194.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123400100200400500600372239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#15
157.61.3
149.3150.6
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
blue by 36.7
56
#4
194.30.5
186.4186.9
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
Second
11
#16
132.80.5
124.4124.9
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9
red by 10.6
4637
#24
122.30.2
121.6121.9
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
Third
41
#10
131.00.3
121.9121.6
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End14.1
red by 10.1
5624
#20
120.90.2
117.4117.6
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed