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Red256
293147.3
5310130.3
5438110.1
Blue319
1279150.6
5992126.7
2016156.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286353100200400500600256319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#8
147.32.6
133.7136.2
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
blue by 9.3
2016
#22
156.61.4
154.0155.3
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
Second
5310
#32
130.30.8
127.1128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
blue by 20.3
1279
#23
150.61.3
143.6144.9
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Third
5438
#27
110.10.1
106.3106.4
Auto18.1
Teleop78.8
End13.3
blue by 16.6
5992
#26
126.70.7
124.4125.1
Auto16.5
Teleop90.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed