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Red356
13686.8
225229.4
2016156.6
Blue283
1403134.0
4575123.7
3314171.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662520100200300400500600356283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.41.0
216.4217.4
Auto29.4
Teleop170.0
End26.4
red by 57.9
171.40.6
153.9153.3
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
Second
2016
#22
156.61.5
150.5152.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
red by 22.6
134.00.3
128.5128.8
Auto18.7
Teleop102.9
End12.5
Third
136
#39
86.80.9
88.287.3
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
blue by 36.9
4575
#34
123.72.1
127.2125.0
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed