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Red362
484133.1
293147.3
3637160.8
Blue302
4361145.4
6897113.7
75151.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272870100200400500600362302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#19
160.81.3
150.0151.3
Auto17.7
Teleop123.0
End19.4
red by 8.9
75
#7
151.91.4
134.0135.3
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Second
293
#8
147.30.4
128.3128.6
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
red by 1.9
4361
#11
145.40.6
144.6145.3
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
Third
484
#14
133.10.7
130.6129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
red by 19.4
6897
#37
113.70.1
112.9112.8
Auto19.0
Teleop80.6
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed