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Red387
4361145.4
4575123.7
4653159.9
Blue211
566698.7
3314171.4
3142139.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192770100200400500600700800387211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#21
159.91.0
147.6148.6
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
blue by 11.5
171.41.0
154.5155.5
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
Second
4361
#11
145.40.3
148.0147.7
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
red by 6.1
3142
#12
139.32.2
124.9127.0
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0
Third
4575
#34
123.70.7
122.2121.5
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
red by 25.0
5666
#31
98.70.5
96.797.2
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned