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Red347
193123.0
341159.2
4637122.3
Blue305
2016156.6
555118.2
6897113.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302990200400600800347305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#13
159.20.9
145.4146.3
Auto17.2
Teleop122.1
End19.5
red by 2.6
2016
#22
156.61.3
155.3156.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
Second
193
#38
123.01.6
131.1129.5
Auto15.6
Teleop94.3
End15.4
red by 4.8
555
#18
118.20.1
118.1118.1
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
Third
4637
#24
122.30.2
121.9121.7
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
red by 8.6
6897
#37
113.70.3
113.5113.8
Auto19.0
Teleop80.6
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed