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Red197
4361145.4
3142139.3
207094.0
Blue379
428198.6
1626157.6
56194.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263367100200300400500600700197379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#11
145.40.5
147.7148.2
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
blue by 48.9
56
#4
194.30.1
186.9186.8
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
Second
3142
#12
139.32.0
127.0129.0
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0
blue by 18.2
1626
#15
157.61.7
150.6152.2
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
Third
2070
#30
94.00.0
93.193.1
Auto16.5
Teleop73.6
End6.5
blue by 4.6
4281
#36
98.60.5
98.598.0
Auto15.0
Teleop74.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed