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Red249
1676150.8
5992126.7
566698.7
Blue419
3314171.4
41131.0
13686.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29231602004006008001,0001,200249419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.81.2
141.5142.7
Auto18.5
Teleop106.6
End24.1
blue by 20.6
171.41.0
155.5156.6
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
Second
5992
#26
126.70.8
125.1125.9
Auto16.5
Teleop90.3
End17.6
blue by 4.3
41
#10
131.00.4
121.6122.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End14.1
Third
5666
#31
98.70.7
97.298.0
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End8.3
red by 11.9
136
#39
86.80.4
83.083.5
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned