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Red322
428198.6
5624120.9
5684129.6
Blue291
2016156.6
5438110.1
6327135.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260358100200300400500600322291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#29
129.60.0
129.6129.6
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
blue by 27.0
2016
#22
156.61.2
156.7157.8
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
Second
5624
#20
120.90.5
117.9118.4
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
blue by 14.8
6327
#28
135.80.4
131.9132.3
Auto19.2
Teleop99.3
End16.0
Third
4281
#36
98.60.2
98.097.8
Auto15.0
Teleop74.3
End4.3
blue by 11.4
5438
#27
110.10.7
106.7107.4
Auto18.1
Teleop78.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed