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Red431
56194.3
1676150.8
75151.9
Blue219
566698.7
484133.1
25201.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379314200500600431219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
194.30.2
186.8187.0
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
blue by 6.9
25
#3
201.21.9
192.0193.9
Auto26.1
Teleop156.4
End19.4
Second
75
#7
151.91.3
143.2144.5
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
red by 18.8
484
#14
133.10.3
131.6131.8
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
Third
150.80.7
143.5144.2
Auto18.5
Teleop106.6
End24.1
red by 52.1
5666
#31
98.70.5
98.098.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed