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Red307
1279150.6
6897113.7
222186.1
Blue480
102129.9
3142139.3
56194.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321380100200500600700307480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#5
186.11.5
181.0182.4
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
blue by 8.2
56
#4
194.30.7
187.0187.7
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
Second
1279
#23
150.60.4
146.9147.4
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
red by 11.2
3142
#12
139.31.7
131.7133.4
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0
Third
6897
#37
113.70.1
114.2114.0
Auto19.0
Teleop80.6
End15.0
blue by 16.2
102
#17
129.91.1
128.6129.7
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed