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Red252
13686.8
4653159.9
5438110.1
Blue459
75151.9
207094.0
6327135.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292303200250350400450252459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#21
159.91.3
151.6152.9
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
red by 8.0
75
#7
151.91.5
144.5146.0
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Second
5438
#27
110.10.6
107.4108.0
Auto18.1
Teleop78.8
End13.3
blue by 25.7
6327
#28
135.80.4
132.3132.7
Auto19.2
Teleop99.3
End16.0
Third
136
#39
86.80.5
84.885.3
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
blue by 7.2
2070
#30
94.00.5
92.892.3
Auto16.5
Teleop73.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed