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Red499
555118.2
56194.3
293147.3
Blue285
3637160.8
13686.8
5310130.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962510100200300500600700499285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
194.31.0
187.7188.7
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
red by 33.5
3637
#19
160.80.4
159.7160.1
Auto17.7
Teleop123.0
End19.4
Second
293
#8
147.31.0
141.6142.6
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
red by 17.0
5310
#32
130.30.4
131.1130.7
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
Third
555
#18
118.20.2
118.1118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
red by 31.4
136
#39
86.80.7
85.386.0
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed