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Red140
1626157.6
334092.4
4637122.3
Blue415
5438110.1
75151.9
484133.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063370100200400500600700140415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#15
157.61.8
157.2158.9
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
red by 5.6
75
#7
151.92.0
146.0148.0
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Second
4637
#24
122.31.0
121.8122.7
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
blue by 10.8
484
#14
133.10.1
131.5131.4
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
Third
3340
#35
92.40.1
94.194.2
Auto16.1
Teleop66.3
End9.0
blue by 17.7
5438
#27
110.10.7
108.0108.7
Auto18.1
Teleop78.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed