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Red109
222186.1
75151.9
428198.6
Blue455
1626157.6
225229.4
3314171.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239474100200300400600700800109455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#5
186.10.9
186.3187.3
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
blue by 43.3
225
#1
229.41.2
227.5228.7
Auto29.4
Teleop170.0
End26.4
Second
75
#7
151.91.4
151.2152.6
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
blue by 19.5
171.41.9
168.2170.2
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
Third
4281
#36
98.60.6
98.098.6
Auto15.0
Teleop74.3
End4.3
blue by 58.9
1626
#15
157.60.5
158.5158.0
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsMissed