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Red389
11132.8
566698.7
4361145.4
Blue298
6327135.8
5684129.6
5310130.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313318250300350400389298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#11
145.40.0
145.5145.5
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
red by 9.6
6327
#28
135.80.5
135.3135.8
Auto19.2
Teleop99.3
End16.0
Second
11
#16
132.80.8
131.7132.5
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9
red by 2.5
5310
#32
130.30.1
130.2130.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
Third
5666
#31
98.70.0
98.798.7
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End8.3
blue by 30.9
5684
#29
129.60.5
130.4130.0
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed