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Red338
1391144.6
1647118.8
223169.8
Blue255
2458107.2
714103.7
5420156.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337281100200400500600338255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#5
169.81.7
150.0151.7
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
red by 13.8
156.01.1
143.0144.1
Auto15.9
Teleop116.9
End20.2
Second
1391
#12
144.60.5
132.4132.9
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
red by 37.4
2458
#38
107.29.2
94.5103.7
Auto16.0
Teleop83.8
End11.3
Third
1647
#34
118.88.6
102.0110.7
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End10.8
red by 15.1
714
#31
103.70.5
111.8111.2
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed