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Red225
5457122.8
2191146.0
5895159.2
Blue389
4750124.8
316178.7
834183.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643700100200300400500600225389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.20.2
144.8145.0
Auto20.9
Teleop115.6
End22.6
blue by 24.2
834
#4
183.32.1
171.8173.9
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End26.0
Second
2191
#26
146.00.4
140.3139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End22.1
blue by 32.7
316
#6
178.71.5
166.6168.2
Auto19.1
Teleop142.5
End17.2
Third
5457
#11
122.812.1
81.793.8
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
blue by 2.0
4750
#16
124.80.7
109.8110.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed