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Red271
7110139.9
2495121.4
224134.7
Blue362
204102.1
365183.5
6226116.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683210100200400500600700800271362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7110
#14
139.90.4
131.7132.1
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9
blue by 43.6
365
#3
183.50.3
169.0168.7
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
Second
224
#21
134.70.1
131.6131.7
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
red by 18.5
6226
#25
116.28.5
93.7102.2
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
Third
2495
#13
121.40.8
104.1104.9
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
red by 19.3
204
#33
102.11.2
102.6101.4
Auto17.2
Teleop72.2
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed