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Red258
3151114.3
1791100.6
272155.0
Blue401
702492.0
2729149.3
5401135.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295304150200250350400450500258401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#9
155.02.1
148.1150.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.9
End30.0
red by 5.7
2729
#17
149.30.0
145.5145.5
Auto27.7
Teleop104.6
End18.4
Second
3151
#22
114.30.2
117.5117.3
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
blue by 21.5
5401
#23
135.87.8
110.7118.6
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
Third
1791
#35
100.612.7
74.987.6
Auto14.5
Teleop79.6
End8.8
red by 8.6
7024
#37
92.00.5
93.893.4
Auto14.0
Teleop67.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed