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Qual 142018 MAR District Seneca Event
Red337
87102.5
203161.7
1647118.8
Blue245
2191146.0
549097.8
1391144.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30729102004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600337245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#2
161.71.0
148.5→149.5
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 15.7
2191
#26
146.00.3
139.9→139.6
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End22.1
Second
1647
#34
118.86.6
110.7→117.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End10.8
blue by 25.8
1391
#12
144.60.7
132.9→133.6
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
Third
87
#28
102.51.3
93.3→94.6
Auto15.2
Teleop74.4
End14.3
red by 4.7
5490
#39
97.87.1
90.0→97.1
Auto14.6
Teleop79.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed