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Red396
365183.5
2600124.8
4750124.8
Blue133
714103.7
6226116.2
1370111.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282360100200300400500396133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
183.50.4
168.7169.1
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
red by 67.3
6226
#25
116.27.3
102.2109.5
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
Second
4750
#16
124.80.9
110.5111.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
red by 13.3
1370
#29
111.50.4
114.6114.2
Auto19.0
Teleop79.3
End11.6
Third
2600
#18
124.80.6
110.4111.0
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5
red by 21.1
714
#31
103.70.8
111.2110.5
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed