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Red256
3151114.3
6921100.3
1089149.4
Blue355
5895159.2
4954114.4
2495121.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802900100200400500600256355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#15
149.40.7
138.4139.1
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
blue by 9.8
159.20.2
145.0145.2
Auto20.9
Teleop115.6
End22.6
Second
3151
#22
114.30.0
117.3117.3
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
blue by 7.1
2495
#13
121.40.9
104.9105.8
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
Third
6921
#30
100.30.9
95.596.4
Auto12.4
Teleop82.5
End5.8
blue by 14.1
4954
#36
114.40.5
124.1123.6
Auto17.0
Teleop85.5
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed