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Red323
2180142.0
272155.0
224134.7
Blue405
1712160.5
5420156.0
834183.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297396100200500600700323405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#9
155.01.8
150.1151.9
Auto20.8
Teleop104.9
End30.0
blue by 28.3
834
#4
183.32.1
173.9176.0
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End26.0
Second
2180
#24
142.01.1
142.9144.0
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
blue by 18.5
160.50.4
153.8154.1
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Third
224
#21
134.70.4
131.7132.1
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
blue by 21.3
156.00.5
144.1144.6
Auto15.9
Teleop116.9
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned