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Red263
1640182.8
204102.1
1791100.6
Blue267
316178.7
549097.8
3151114.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294311150200250350400450263267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#10
182.80.7
178.4177.7
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 4.0
316
#6
178.71.6
168.2169.7
Auto19.1
Teleop142.5
End17.2
Second
204
#33
102.10.4
101.4101.0
Auto17.2
Teleop72.2
End13.2
blue by 12.2
3151
#22
114.30.0
117.3117.2
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
Third
1791
#35
100.66.9
96.4103.3
Auto14.5
Teleop79.6
End8.8
red by 2.8
5490
#39
97.85.1
97.1102.2
Auto14.6
Teleop79.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed