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Red302
6226116.2
4285124.8
1391144.6
Blue305
5457122.8
5113118.3
223169.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301307200250350400302305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
144.60.7
133.6134.3
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
blue by 25.2
223
#5
169.81.8
153.5155.3
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
Second
4285
#27
124.83.5
114.0117.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End15.9
red by 2.0
5457
#11
122.83.0
101.9104.9
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
Third
6226
#25
116.22.7
109.5112.2
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
blue by 2.1
5113
#19
118.30.3
110.6110.9
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed